# Meta Agent — Real-Account Paper Simulation > No credentials or real exchange orders. Satu akun cross-margin paper; > fee, funding, dan likuidasi dimodelkan jujur (DESIGN_META_V2). - Updated: `2026-09-01T14:35:56.747404+00:00` - Cycle: 4990 | Balance | Equity | Available | uPnL | Daily P/L | Open | Trades | Win-rate | PF | Exp/trade | Max DD | Ambig. bars | Locked | |---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---| | $306.56 | $306.56 | $306.56 | $+0.00 | $-31.54 | 0 | 32 | 37.5% | 0.51 | $-6.04 | $-245.12 | 0 | - | ## Latest routes ```json [ { "action": "no_trade", "reason": "no trade; best utility=0.00; vetoes=['non_positive_net_ev', 'carry_quality_gate']", "symbol": "TRXUSDT", "vetoes": [ "non_positive_net_ev", "carry_quality_gate" ], "strategy": "none", "confidence": 0.0, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:25:00+00:00", "news_flags": [], "assessments": { "news": null, "carry": { "score": -0.12015287426650244, "skill": "carry", "action": "no_trade", "symbol": "TRXUSDT", "vetoes": [ "carry_quality_gate" ], "factors": { "funding_mean": -1.2427407407407406e-05, "risk_buffer_bps": 9.061816448959542, "basis_change_vol": 0.00039950532423315576, "funding_edge_bps": -5.219511111111111, "current_basis_pct": -0.26822536076143155, "annual_funding_pct": -1.360801111111111, "funding_persistence": 0.5481481481481482, "round_trip_cost_bps": 8.0, "basis_convergence_bps": 0.0 }, "reasons": [ "annual funding -1.36%; persistence 54.8%", "carry net EV -22.3 bps over 14d" ], "eligible": false, "metadata": { "perp_price": 0.32482639, "spot_price": 0.3257 }, "confidence": 0.7966666666666666, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:32:28.016161+00:00", "horizon_hours": 336.0, "expected_net_bps": -22.28132756007065 }, "directional": { "score": -0.9275858261563871, "skill": "directional", "action": "no_trade", "symbol": "TRXUSDT", "vetoes": [ "non_positive_net_ev" ], "factors": { "adx": 38.79143938985933, "rsi": 31.293577848963153, "flow_z": null, "atr_pct": 0.0014810603625469794, "flow_term": 0.0, "kyle_lambda": null, "momentum_1h": -0.0033774448094813225, "trend_1h_atr": -3.8340905866553814, "trend_5m_atr": -3.1340052871954622, "volume_ratio": 1.1744666153010233, "vwap_position": -0.010217681784439823, "gross_edge_bps": 17.172632499757725, "taker_imbalance": null, "funding_edge_bps": -11.853599999999998, "round_trip_cost_bps": 16.0 }, "reasons": [ "short structure score -0.928", "1h trend aligned; BTC choppy", "directional net EV -10.7 bps" ], "eligible": false, "metadata": { "atr": 0.00048073738307912405, "frames": { "1h": { "vwap": null, "close": 0.32545, "ema_mid": 0.3303870666067971, "ema_fast": 0.3282740087342404, "ema_slow": 0.3332766896710738 }, "5m": { "vwap": 0.32794079468421966, "close": 0.32459, "ema_mid": 0.32544769921023614, "ema_fast": 0.3250199820744909, "ema_slow": 0.3265266155748134 } }, "btc_regime": "choppy", "mark_price": 0.32482639, "ema_periods": { "mid": 21, "fast": 9, "slow": 50 }, "candle_price": 0.32459, "funding_rate": -0.00158048, "orderflow_enabled": false }, "confidence": 0.99, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:25:00+00:00", "horizon_hours": 6.0, "expected_net_bps": -10.680967500242273 }, "performance_carry": { "score": 0.0, "skill": "performance", "action": "allow", "symbol": "TRXUSDT", "vetoes": [], "factors": { "wins": 0.0, "losses": 0.0, "samples": 0.0, "expectancy_usd": 0.0, "minimum_samples": 8.0, "sample_maturity": 0.0, "posterior_win_rate": 0.5, "win_rate_lower_bound": 0.3210613300064863 }, "reasons": [ "shrunk win rate 50.0%; lower bound 32.1%; n=0/8 minimum" ], "eligible": true, "metadata": {}, "confidence": 0.15, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:32:28.016161+00:00", "horizon_hours": 24.0, "expected_net_bps": 0.0 }, "performance_directional": { "score": 0.0, "skill": "performance", "action": "allow", "symbol": "TRXUSDT", "vetoes": [], "factors": { "wins": 0.0, "losses": 0.0, "samples": 0.0, "expectancy_usd": 0.0, "minimum_samples": 8.0, "sample_maturity": 0.0, "posterior_win_rate": 0.5, "win_rate_lower_bound": 0.3210613300064863 }, "reasons": [ "shrunk win rate 50.0%; lower bound 32.1%; n=0/8 minimum" ], "eligible": true, "metadata": {}, "confidence": 0.15, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:32:28.016161+00:00", "horizon_hours": 24.0, "expected_net_bps": 0.0 } }, "news_policy": "advisory", "horizon_hours": 0.0, "expected_net_bps": 0.0, "news_utility_factor": 1.0, "utility_bps_per_day": 0.0, "raw_utility_bps_per_day": 0.0 }, { "action": "no_trade", "reason": "selected long utility=50.52 bps/day; filter veto: btc_gate_long", "symbol": "NEARUSDT", "vetoes": [ "btc_gate_long" ], "strategy": "none", "confidence": 0.9789221017245566, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:25:00+00:00", "news_flags": [], "assessments": { "news": { "model": "local_policy_no_evidence", "usage": {}, "reason": "No tail-risk headline mentions NEAR in 80 fresh items; 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persistence 97.4%", "carry net EV -11.6 bps over 14d" ], "eligible": false, "metadata": { "perp_price": 0.01592007, "spot_price": 0.01593 }, "confidence": 0.95, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:32:28.016161+00:00", "horizon_hours": 336.0, "expected_net_bps": -11.633087206956201 }, "directional": { "score": 0.5790317713843977, "skill": "directional", "action": "no_trade", "symbol": "HEMIUSDT", "vetoes": [ "chart_quality_gate" ], "factors": { "adx": 15.58335312557685, "rsi": 48.86898653183442, "flow_z": null, "atr_pct": 0.014134690966895375, "flow_term": 0.0, "kyle_lambda": null, "momentum_1h": 0.013533354612192738, "trend_1h_atr": 1.1673094878217563, "trend_5m_atr": 0.51555602856977, "volume_ratio": 0.6182628543481594, "vwap_position": 0.024528648817989104, "gross_edge_bps": 102.30543935665592, "taker_imbalance": null, "funding_edge_bps": -0.37500000000000006, "round_trip_cost_bps": 16.0 }, "reasons": [ "long structure score +0.579", "1h trend aligned; BTC choppy", "directional net EV +85.9 bps" ], "eligible": false, "metadata": { "atr": 0.00022441648848139784, "frames": { "1h": { "vwap": null, "close": 0.016157, "ema_mid": 0.015494930268405312, "ema_fast": 0.015704236483232527, "ema_slow": 0.014687007647033196 }, "5m": { "vwap": 0.015496882413505452, "close": 0.015877, "ema_mid": 0.015920834452971842, "ema_fast": 0.01592796808665889, "ema_slow": 0.015812268813111846 } }, "btc_regime": "choppy", "mark_price": 0.01592007, "ema_periods": { "mid": 21, "fast": 9, "slow": 50 }, "candle_price": 0.015877, "funding_rate": 5e-05, "orderflow_enabled": false }, "confidence": 0.7108008867637261, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:25:00+00:00", "horizon_hours": 6.0, "expected_net_bps": 85.93043935665592 }, "performance_carry": { "score": 0.0, "skill": "performance", "action": "allow", "symbol": "HEMIUSDT", "vetoes": [], "factors": { "wins": 0.0, "losses": 0.0, "samples": 0.0, "expectancy_usd": 0.0, "minimum_samples": 8.0, "sample_maturity": 0.0, "posterior_win_rate": 0.5, "win_rate_lower_bound": 0.3210613300064863 }, "reasons": [ "shrunk win rate 50.0%; lower bound 32.1%; n=0/8 minimum" ], "eligible": true, "metadata": {}, "confidence": 0.15, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:32:28.016161+00:00", "horizon_hours": 24.0, "expected_net_bps": 0.0 }, "performance_directional": { "score": 0.0, "skill": "performance", "action": "allow", "symbol": "HEMIUSDT", "vetoes": [], "factors": { "wins": 0.0, "losses": 0.0, "samples": 0.0, "expectancy_usd": 0.0, "minimum_samples": 8.0, "sample_maturity": 0.0, "posterior_win_rate": 0.5, "win_rate_lower_bound": 0.3210613300064863 }, "reasons": [ "shrunk win rate 50.0%; lower bound 32.1%; n=0/8 minimum" ], "eligible": true, "metadata": {}, "confidence": 0.15, "data_as_of": "2026-09-01T14:32:28.016161+00:00", "horizon_hours": 24.0, "expected_net_bps": 0.0 } }, "news_policy": "advisory", "horizon_hours": 0.0, "expected_net_bps": 0.0, "news_utility_factor": 1.0, "utility_bps_per_day": 0.0, "raw_utility_bps_per_day": 0.0 } ] ``` ## Interpretation - $10–$30/day is an aggressive objective, not a promised return. - PF/expectancy/max DD above are realized closed-trade diagnostics; small samples are not promotion proof. - Promotion requires positive net expectancy/PF and acceptable drawdown, not win-rate alone. - ambiguous_bars yang material berarti edge strategi berada di dalam noise bar 1m.